Senior Project Manager, Cost Forecasting

The Senior Project Manager - Cost Forecasting plays a critical role in ensuring the financial health and predictability of residential construction projects by delivering accurate, timely, and forward-looking cost forecasts.
Reporting to the VP, Construction and working closely with Project Managers, site teams, and the Financial Planning & Analysis team, the Senior Project Manager - Cost Forecasting improves forecast quality and consistency across a portfolio of projects—strengthening a core muscle of Axiom Builders’ business.
You’re a trusted partner and constructive challenger: someone who can influence without authority, build strong relationships quickly, and raise the forecast “truth” level without creating friction.
Key Responsibilities
Portfolio insights & collaboration

Support portfolio-level forecasting and planning (cashflow, margin, and annual revenue projections) so that financial reporting to the wider business is consistent and accurate;
Capture and translate field-level cost and resource data into actionable input for estimating and future budget development, supporting more accurate labour and resource planning for upcoming projects;
Contribute to continuous improvement of cost forecasting methodologies, tools, and processes.

Forecast integrity & early warning

Maintain alignment of cost forecasts with real world plans through engagement with project teams through active engagement with project teams on schedule, resourcing and related topics;
Proactively quantify risks and opportunities by building and maintaining scenario models that evaluate financial exposure as project conditions evolve;
Provide early warning to PMs and leadership with clear, defensible forecast narratives.

Cost analysis & root cause

Analyze actual costs vs. budget and forecast; identify variances, trends, and likely root causes (not just deltas);
From the vantage point of a portfolio level view, or even company level view, provide actionable insights to project teams related to cost efficiencies and risks;
Conduct analysis on internal labour metrics, identifying trends and insights that support productivity improvements and more accurate future planning.

Skills & Experience

Bachelor’s degree in Construction Management, Engineering, or related field; or an equivalent combination of education and construction experience;
10 years experience with 5+ years’ experience in cost forecasting, construction project management, or project finance within a project-based environment;
Strong understanding of construction delivery; exposure to Construction Management contract models (e.g., CCDC 3 / 5A) is an asset;
Strong knowledge and intuition of cost burn, sequencing, resourcing, and productivity signals;
Advanced Excel capability and comfort working with financial systems and project cost data;
Excellent communication skills (written/verbal): able to translate complex cost signals into clear, actionable insights.